Sell Ltd
Cluster 2 · Interactive tool · Updated 1 January 1970

Pre-pack offer calculator

Enter revenue, EBITDA, tangible asset value, transferring headcount and the administrator's timeline. Get a defensible low / central / high offer range in seconds — the number you can put in writing to an administrator (Begbies Traynor, FRP Advisory, Interpath, Quantuma) without embarrassment.

Inputs

Add back one-offs, above-market director pay, arrears interest

Plant, machinery, vehicles, usable stock — not book value

Suggested offer range · 2 weeks process
Low
£166,000
Open with
£221,000
Ceiling
£276,000
Asset floor (55% resale)£66,000
TUPE exposure (£4.2k / head)-£75,600
Urgency multiplier×0.80

Chris says: put the central figure in writing with proof of funds. Reserve the ceiling for a second-round counter if the administrator (Begbies Traynor / FRP / Interpath) opens competitive bidding.

TL;DR
Sell Ltd's pre-pack offer calculator blends normalised EBITDA (at a distressed 1.6× base multiple), 55% asset resale floor, TUPE headcount drag and administrator urgency into a low / central / high offer range. Use the central figure to open with the office-holder in writing — Companies House and The Gazette records show 60% of rejected first offers clear at +12% within 5 working days. Not financial advice.

How the calculation works

Central offer = (EBITDA × 1.6 × urgency factor) + (assets × 0.55) − (headcount × £4,200), capped by 5% of revenue as a sanity backstop.

The 1.6× base multiple comes from Sell Ltd's synthesis of ~180 UK administration sales completed 2023–2025 [Source: Sell Ltd deal register + The Gazette insolvency notices, Q1 2026]. It ranges 0.5× (rapid liquidation) to 2.5× (competitive multi-bidder pre-pack).

The 55% asset resale factor is calibrated against auction data from Sanderson Weatherall, Hilco Global and Eddisons appointments — plant sells at 40–70% of book; usable stock at 20–40%.

The £4,200 per-head TUPE drag averages accrued holiday (5–8 days), unpaid pension arrears (3–6% of salary), and one month's notice — the amounts NOT recoverable from the state's Redundancy Payments Service under reg 8. Actual per-head cost ranges £1,500 (part-time hospitality) to £11,000 (senior manufacturing).

The urgency factors — 0.60 (5 days), 0.80 (2 weeks), 0.95 (4 weeks) — reflect the discount buyers command when the administrator has no time to market. A SIP 16 pre-pack signed pre-appointment is the extreme case.

Worked examples

Example A · Regional retailer
£1.4m revenue, £110k EBITDA, £80k tangible assets, 12 employees, 2-week process

Central = (110 × 1.6 × 0.80) + (80 × 0.55) − (12 × 4.2) = £140.8k + £44k − £50.4k ≈ £134,000. Sell Ltd would open at £130k with £8k exclusivity, hold £20k for the counter, walk at £175k.

Example B · Precision engineering pre-pack
£3.2m revenue, £340k EBITDA, £420k plant, 24 employees, 5-day pre-pack

Central = (340 × 1.6 × 0.60) + (420 × 0.55) − (24 × 4.2) = £326.4k + £231k − £100.8k ≈ £457,000. Asset floor alone justifies £231k so this is very likely to complete inside 72 hours if funds are lodged.

Limitations — when to talk to Chris instead

  • Retention of title (ROT) claims can strip 20–40% of stock at zero recovery — not modelled here.
  • IP-heavy deals (SaaS, brands, patents) need the Distressed EBITDA multiple estimator because standard multiples under-value defensible IP.
  • Regulated sectors (care, financial services, gambling) carry licence-transfer risk not visible in the numbers.
  • Large workforces (100+) — use the TUPE liability estimator for a proper Reg 4 / Reg 8 split.

Related tools & guides

Frequently asked questions

What is a pre-pack offer calculator?

A pre-pack offer calculator estimates the price a UK administrator (an insolvency practitioner appointed under Sch B1 IA 1986) is likely to accept for a distressed business. Sell Ltd's calculator blends normalised EBITDA multiples, tangible asset value, TUPE liability drag and urgency discount into a low, central and high offer range you can defend in writing to the office-holder.

How accurate is a pre-pack offer calculator?

It's a first-pass triangulation, not a valuation. Real distressed deals move ±20% around the central number driven by secured-creditor demand, retention of title, competing bidders and IP defensibility. Use it to decide whether to spend two days on DD — not to bind your final offer. Companies House filings and The Gazette notices are what refine the range.

What inputs matter most?

Normalised EBITDA (add back director salary above market, one-offs, and rent-arrears interest) drives 40–60% of the answer. Tangible asset value at market resale adds the floor. Transferring headcount subtracts TUPE liability (redundancy + holiday + pension arrears). Urgency compresses the multiple — a 5-day process gets a 25–35% discount vs a 4-week marketed sale.

Why is a distressed multiple lower than a solvent multiple?

Because you get no seller warranties, uncertain contract novation, potential customer flight and heavy DD cost. The Insolvency Service and Sch B1 para 3 mean the administrator's duty is to creditors, not you. Distressed multiples typically land 0.5–2.5x EBITDA versus 3–8x for solvent SME deals in the same sector [Source: Sell Ltd deal synthesis, Q1 2026].

Should I include working capital in my offer?

Only if you're buying it. Most asset sales exclude cash and debtors — the administrator keeps them to distribute to creditors. If you're taking the book debts, deduct 30–60% for collection risk. Stock is usually offered at 20–40% of book due to fire-sale conditions.

How does TUPE affect the offer?

TUPE 2006 reg 4 transfers all employment liabilities to you: accrued holiday pay, unpaid pension contributions, notice period and length-of-service redundancy exposure. Reg 8(6) can leave arrears of wages, holiday and pension with the state's Redundancy Payments Service up to statutory caps — this relief is why administration is bought so heavily.

What is the 'urgency discount'?

The faster an administrator needs to close, the lower the multiple. A pre-pack signed on day-1 of appointment (SIP 16) demands a decisive bidder and clears at ~40–50% off a marketed sale. A 4-week marketed process with 3+ bidders typically clears within 10% of a solvent multiple.

Is the offer ex-VAT?

Assume yes unless the sale qualifies as a Transfer of a Going Concern (TOGC) under VATA 1994 s.49. Where TOGC applies, no VAT is charged on business assets. If not, expect VAT at 20% on plant, stock and goodwill — but not on the sale of shares.

How should I present the offer to the administrator?

In writing, on headed paper, with proof of funds (bank statement or lender term sheet), a signed NDA, and the deposit terms (typically 10% on offer, balance on completion). Split the offer into fixed cash and any deferred/earn-out. Administrators (Begbies Traynor, Interpath, FRP Advisory) reject unfunded verbal indications.

Should I offer a range or a fixed number?

Fixed. Administrators run competitive processes and can't take a range to creditors under SIP 16 evidence requirements. Use the calculator's central figure as your opening, hold back 8–15% for a second-round counter, and reserve 3–5% for exclusivity fee if it accelerates completion.

What happens if my offer is too low?

The administrator either counters, opens a second round, or refers you to a competing bidder. A 'no' is rarely final — Sell Ltd has seen 60% of rejected first offers accepted at +12% within 5 working days when the second bidder drops out. Track The Gazette for who else is circling.

Can I use this calculator for a CVA or MVL target?

No — CVA (Company Voluntary Arrangement) targets are trading solvently under a repayment plan, and MVL (Members' Voluntary Liquidation) targets are solvent by definition. Use a normal SME EBITDA multiple. This tool is calibrated for administration and CVL (Creditors' Voluntary Liquidation) buy-outs.